The World of Protracted Conflicts

By (author) Michael Brecher

Publication date:

26 May 2016

Length of book:

412 pages

Publisher

Lexington Books

ISBN-13: 9781498531870

The World of Protracted Conflicts seeks to frame the models to answer three crucial questions about interstate protracted conflict: what are the most likely conditions for the onset of a protracted conflict, its escalation/persistence, and its termination? It presents the findings on protracted conflict occurrence, continuation, and resolution through testing these models and their derived hypotheses against the evidence from 33 interstate protracted conflicts in the last century. These findings will, in turn, shed further light on the conflict-crisis-war linkage. This book examines and explains patterns that exist in the eruption, evolution, and winding down of these conflicts through a systematic comparison of recent and contemporary PCs.

Chapter 1 Concepts
Chapter 2 Historical Roots
Chapter 3 Cases
Chapter 4 Model I: Onset
Chapter 5 Causes: Testing Model I
Chapter 6 Model II: Persistence
Chapter 7 Discordant Objectives
Chapter 8 Perceptions
Chapter 9 Behavior
Chapter 10 Conflict-Sustaining Acts
Chapter 11 Persistence: Testing Model II
Chapter 12 Model III: Resolution
Chapter 13 Conflict Management and Resolution: Testing Model III
Chapter 14 What Have We Learned?

Protracted interstate conflicts—those between or among states that last for more than 10 years and involve three or more crises—have led to some of the worst incidents of violence in the last century, and many remain unresolved, threatening the security of almost every region of the world. This book provides one of the most comprehensive studies of these cases, analyzing all 33 since the end of World War I. These include well-known cases such as India-Pakistan and North and South Korea, as well as less-studied cases such as Costa Rica and Nicaragua. The history of each case is presented in depth to begin the volume. The author then develops a theoretical model for attempting to understand why protracted interstate conflicts begin, why they escalate and persist, and why some are able to be resolved. Each model is then tested with qualitative evidence from every case to identify the most important explanatory factors. Suited for graduate students and academics, the book makes a novel contribution to the literature on interstate conflict. Summing Up: Recommended. Graduate students and faculty.